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Tropical Cyclone Technical Bulletin: AUSTRALIA - Western Australia Issued by Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE at: 0647 UTC 18/12/2025 Name: Ex-Tropical Cyclone Bakung Identifier: 05U Data At: 0600 UTC Latitude: 10.3S Longitude: 91.8E Location Accuracy: within 30nm (55 km) Movement Towards: north northeast (020 deg) Speed of Movement: 4 knots (8 km/h) Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 30 knots (55 km/h) Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 45 knots (85 km/h) Central Pressure: 1003 hPa Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant: Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant: Radius of 64-knot winds: Radius of Maximum Winds: Dvorak Intensity Code: T1.5/2.0/W2.0/24HRS STT:W0.5/06HRS Pressure of outermost isobar: 1008 hPa Radius of outermost closed isobar: 40 nm (75 km) FORECAST DATA Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure (UTC) : degrees : nm (km): knots(km/h): hPa +06: 18/1200: None None: None (None): None (None): None +12: 18/1800: None None: None (None): None (None): None +18: 19/0000: None None: None (None): None (None): None +24: 19/0600: None None: None (None): None (None): None +36: 19/1800: None None: None (None): None (None): None +48: 20/0600: None None: None (None): None (None): None +60: 20/1800: None None: None (None): None (None): None +72: 21/0600: None None: None (None): None (None): None +96: 22/0600: None None: None (None): None (None): None +120: 23/0600: None None: None (None): None (None): None REMARKS: The remnants of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Bakung are dissipating over the Indian Ocean. The analysis position is assessed with low confidence based on recent visible imagery. Over the past six hours the system structure has deteriorated significantly. Deep convection over the system centre has ceased, and the exposed low-level circulation has become elongated and poorly defined. Intensity is set at 30 kn. An partial ASCAT pass at 0235 UTC indicated that gales were no longer present in the SW quadrant. Dvorak analysis: No DT could be assigned due poor cloud structure; MET=2.0 based on a 24 h W+ trend, PAT has been adjusted down to 1.5; FT/CI = 1.5/2.0, with FT based on the PAT. The remnants of Bakung have been moving slowly towards the north under the influence of a ridge in the lower levels. The system is expected to move to the north east and out of the Australian region close to 10S Thursday. The system is not expected to redevelop. Copyright Commonwealth of Australia == There will be no further bulletins for this system unless it reintensifies. [close] |